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ISIS Missiles, and the case for retiring the A-10
The New York Times has a short but informative piece on ISIS gaining and using Man Portable Air Defense Systems (MANPADS) in Syria. The MANPADS has been around since the 1960s, with the first generation US Redeye and Soviet SA-7 Grail setting the basic template for those that follow. For the most part, non-state actors have often had access to the SA-7 and similar missiles. But with the exception of the US supplying the far more capable FIM-92 Stinger to the Mujihadeen in Afghanistan in the late 1980s, few such non-state groups have had access to modern, more capable missiles. For a time, the Stinger was head and shoulders above any other MANPAD system in capability. Judicious use of tactics, and profligate use of countermeasures such as flares minimized the risks MANPADS posed to modern combat aircraft and helicopters. But the times, they are a-changin’. Several late model Russian and Chinese MANPAD systems are quite capable and increasingly in the hands of groups such as ISIS and the Free Syrian Army. With US airstrikes taking place in both Iraq and Syria against ISIS positions, the chances of our airmen facing these advanced MANPADS cannot be dismissed.
Many have expressed outrage at the Air Force saying that budget constraints are forcing it to put the A-10 Warthog on the retirement chopping block. Advocates insist it is the best possible platform for close air support of ground troops in contact. It’s capability to operate at low altitude and low speed give it a better ability to spot targets and precisely engage with its awesome 30mm GAU-8 gun, supporters argue. The armor and survivability features incorporated in its design favor it over other platforms such as the F-16, they content.
But that overlooks shifts in technology, doctrine, and threats since the A-10 was first fielded in the 1970s. Back then, effectively, the only precision sensor for all strike platforms was the Mk 1 Mod 0 eyeball. Radar could help an F-111 find a bridge, but spotting tanks and artillery pieces still came down to a visual search. But those days have been gone for over 2o years. Virtually every warplane today features some form of electro-optical sensor for spotting and precisely locating discrete targets. When the A-10 was fielded, only a handful of guided weapons were in regular use. Contra the thought that the GAU-8 was the main weapon of the A-10, the real main battery was the AGM-65 Maverick guided missile. It’s standoff range made it safer for the A-10 to attack Soviet formations guarded by radar guided 23mm ZSU-23-4 guns and SA-7 missiles. Only after Soviet air defenses were suppressed would Warthogs mop up with the gun. The rest of the weapons inventory mostly consisted of unguided dumb bombs and cluster bombs. Low and slow made for a more accurate delivery via the A-10 than from fast mover jets.
But today, virtually every weapon dropped in combat today is a precision guided weapon. Indeed, rules of engagement make it almost unheard of to use a dumb bomb. You’d be hard pressed to simply find a picture of an unguided bomb hanging from a deployed attack aircraft. Given the precision nature of the weapons, there is no accuracy benefit to a low and slow delivery platform.
The A-10’s ability to better acquire ground targets visually is more than offset by the better sensors of other strike platforms. Add that current US doctrine stresses target acquisition by offboard sensors, primarily UAVs and ground troops, the ability to visually search the battlefield is of significantly lesser importance.
And so we come to the last point- vulnerability. There’s an old fighter pilot saying that “speed is life.”
When it comes to missile combat, that’s literally, mathematically true. MANPAD systems have improved both in the quality of their guidance systems and in their propulsion. The improvements in rocket performance in just the last 30 years is surprising. And so the engagement envelope of a given MANPAD against a given benchmark target has improved. The slower the target, the better chance a missile has of generating an intercept. The faster the target, the poorer the prospects of an intercept. Similarly, altitude has the same effect. Combining higher speed with higher altitude greatly shrinks the bubble of airspace that a given missile can even theoretically generate an intercept in.
Being low and slow, the A-10’s window of vulnerability is greater than most strike aircraft. And for all its vaunted toughness, it is hardly invulnerable. During Desert Storm, four A-10s were downed by relatively crude air defenses, with a further two written off after crash landings. Current and near future threats might not be as dense, but they will likely be more sophisticated.
It’s not that the Air Force really wants to retire the A-10. It’s that it is being forced by sequestration to make hard choices on where it spends the money it does have. And they’ve come to the regrettable, but defensible conclusion that they can provide adequate close air support of ground troops with other platforms, and reap the savings of retiring not just the A-10 airframe, but also the institutional infrastructure needed to support an operational type. I may not like it, but I understand it.
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You Can Buy an Ejector Seat From an F-4 Phantom for Quick Escapes
If you’re an aviation enthusiast, there’s a lot of fun stuff to be found in Boeing’s online store. But none are as unique—and some would say even historic—as this authentic de-commissioned ejector seat from an McDonnell F-4 Phantom II fighter jet, one of the U.S. military’s workhorses of the Vietnam War.
Made by the British manufacturer Martin-Baker Aircraft Co. Ltd., the seat has been refurbished and professionally cleaned, but not fully restored so it looks somewhat worn and used. It comes mounted to a steel plate for display purposes, and still includes a harness, the ejection lever, and an empty oxygen tank.
via You Can Buy an Ejector Seat From an F-4 Phantom for Quick Escapes.
You guys do know I accept donations and gifts, right?
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Amazon Special-Last Stand of the Tin Can Sailors
James Hornfischer’s Last Stand of the Tin Can Sailors, a gripping story of the escorts of Taffy 3 during the Battle of Leyte Gulf, is on special at Amazon for $1.99 for the Kindle edition. You can buy it here, or you can click on my Amazon tab in the right side column. If you use the link on the right, I get a small commission.
No Kindle? No problem. You can install the Kindle app on your phone, tablet or laptop, or, if you wish, even buy a Kindle device through my Amazon tab.
I’m still holding out for a special on Neptune’s Inferno about the Navy at Guadacanal. @GuadaBattle is still covering the campaign on Twitter.
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Ebola outbreak: U.S. soldiers returning from Liberia placed in isolation in Italy – CBS News
U.S. soldiers returning from Liberia are being placed in isolation in Vicenza, Italy out of concern for the Ebola virus, CBS News national security correspondent David Martin reports.
The soldiers being monitored include Maj. Gen. Darryl Williams who was the commander of the U.S. Army in Africa but turned over duties to the 101st Airborne Division over the weekend, Martin reports. There are currently 11 soldiers in isolation.
They apparently were met by Carabinieri in full hazmat suits. If the policy remains in effect, everyone returning from Liberia – several hundred – will be placed in isolation for 21 days. Thirty are expected in today, Martin reports.
A Pentagon spokesman calls it “enhanced monitoring.” The soldiers are confined to a building and unable to see their families, Martin reports. The decision made by the Army and applies only to soldiers returning from Liberia. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel will decide whether to make isolation apply to members of all services returning from Liberia.
via Ebola outbreak: U.S. soldiers returning from Liberia placed in isolation in Italy – CBS News.
This totally sucks for the soldiers not being able to see their families. And they’re likely a very, very low risk cohort. But it also shows the insanity of the Obama administration’s ham handed approach to travel from West Africa. You do realize the US is still issuing tourist visas to people from Liberia? Theoretically, someone who strongly suspects they will soon be symptomatic can hop on a plane and come visit. That’s to say nothing of the issues with returning US volunteers who are very high risk.
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Load HEAT- Monica Raymund
I’ve enjoyed watching Monica Raymund on Chicago Fire for the past three seasons, and right now, I’m enjoying her watching old episodes of Lie to Me, which was virtually her first acting gig.
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Crew's ship: Sailors' comfort a centerpiece of new supercarrier Ford | Navy Times | navytimes.com
ABOARD THE FUTURE CARRIER FORD IN NEWPORT NEWS, VA — Electromagnetic catapults and a soaring $13 billion price tag get most headlines, but it is a variety of creature comforts and convenience that are making the Navy’s next supercarrier a hit with its crew.
The future aircraft carrier Gerald R. Ford boasts amenities like smaller berthings, tricked out gyms and loaded lounges, plus many design changes like wider passageways that make the ship more livable.
“I’ve never seen a p-way that wide,” said Damage Controlman 2nd Class Mario Covington, one of the nearly 1,000 members of the pre-commissioning crew to report for duty. “Usually, we have about 12 guys struggling with each other to get in their [firefighting ensemble]. But here you can get dressed out and have someone inspect you with enough space for others to enter and exit the area. Big difference. Huge difference.”
via Crew’s ship: Sailors’ comfort a centerpiece of new supercarrier Ford | Navy Times | navytimes.com.
One of the big reasons the future USS Gerald Ford costs so much more than its Nimitz predecessors is that so much has changed. Remember, the Nimitz class is essentially a late 1960s design. Ford, however, is a 21st century design. There’s been quite a change in not just how ships are designed and built, but also the fundamental technologies that are used aboard ship. In World War II, heads simply flushed raw sewerage overboard with a salt water flush. That’s not acceptable today. So a far more expensive sewerage system has to be provided. Likewise, more comfortable berthing comes at a higher cost as well. That’s to say nothing of the capital costs of building two nuclear power plants that will have to provide 50 years of service on one load of fuel.
There will be engineering challenges, and issues as they test and deploy Bush. But so far, there haven’t been any major design issues that have cropped up. Now if we can just get Kennedy and Enterprise paid for.
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Lazy Sunday
Your humble host has absolutely no motivation to write today. Oh, I have topics in mind to discuss- the building boom of World War II, the doctrine of mechanized infantry and combined arms, stuff like that. But for now, it’s a lazy Sunday, and I’m just watching youtube videos.
As ghastly as they are, there is just something beautiful as well about nuclear explosions. I personally like the large airbursts.
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26 October 1942; The Battle of Santa Cruz
In the far-flung Pacific Theater of the Second World War, there are some battles and events so momentous that it is immediately clear to the antagonists that their aftermath portends major shifts in the status quo; that conditions following will be forever different from what came before. Midway is such an event. With others, their true significance is often realized only in retrospect, as study of the results and decisions in the aftermath of those events is required to reveal how pivotal they truly were. The Battle of Santa Cruz, which occurred seventy-two years ago today, is one of those largely hidden events. A tactical and operational success for the Japanese, the battle was a pyrrhic victory for the Imperial Japanese Navy.
Powerful Japanese naval forces under Vice Admiral Nobutake Kondo had been tasked with supporting the efforts of the Japanese 17th Army in what was finally a major attempt to capture Guadalcanal’s Henderson Field and unhinge the position of the First Marine Division on that island. The glacially slow and piecemeal reaction of General Hyukatake, commanding 17th Army, had allowed the Americans to build a force of more than 20,000, replete with a fully operational airfield and complete complement of supporting arms, by the time of the October counteroffensive. Even in October, Hyukatake badly underestimated US ground strength and fighting qualities, believing only some 7,500 garrisoned Guadalcanal. The Japanese ground effort, including a combined tank-infantry attack, was once again poorly coordinated, and it came to grief against the lines of the First Marines and under the howitzers of the Eleventh Marines along the Matanikau River before either fleet engaged each other at Santa Cruz. (Inexplicably, the Japanese Army units reported erroneously that they had captured Henderson Field when in reality they had nowhere threatened breakthrough of the Marine lines.)
At sea, Admiral Kondo’s force greatly outnumbered the Americans under Thomas Kinkaid. For the IJN, two large and two small carriers, six battleships, and ten heavy and light cruisers, with almost 250 aircraft significantly outweighed the two American fleet carriers (Enterprise and Hornet), the lone battleship (South Dakota), a half dozen cruisers, and around 170 aircraft.
Each fleet’s scout aircraft found the other almost simultaneously, and launched strikes simultaneously. In fact, the strike forces passed each other on their respective headings, with fighters from each side briefly and inconclusively engaging the enemy’s formations. The Japanese air strikes exacted a heavy toll from the US ships. Enterprise was struck with at least two bombs, jamming a flight deck elevator and causing extensive splinter and blast damage in the hangar decks, while near-misses stoved in her side plates. Enterprise was seriously hurt, but somehow maintained flight operations. Hornet was struck by three bombs and at least two torpedoes, wrecking her engine rooms and bringing the carrier to a halt.
Despite the heroic efforts to save Hornet, a well-placed torpedo from a Japanese submarine put paid to the effort. The incident was eerily similar to the fate of Yorktown at Midway 4 1/2 months earlier. Like her sister, Hornet stayed stubbornly afloat despite shells and torpedoes expended to scuttle her. Eventually, the Japanese sank Hornet with two Long Lance torpedoes. Battleship South Dakota was credited with shooting down 26 Japanese aircraft, but was struck on B Turret with a 550-pound bomb. Additionally, two US destroyers were damaged.
In turn, the US Navy strikes crippled the light carrier Zuiho, wrecked the flight deck of Shokaku, and inflicted heavy damage with a bomb strike on heavy cruiser Chikuma. The most consequential losses for the Japanese had been among the superbly trained veteran aircrews that had been the scourge of Allied pilots and surface vessels since Pearl Harbor. Despite the fact that Kondo’s task force had inflicted considerably more damage to the American ships than Kinkaid’s flyers had managed, and despite the relatively even losses of aircraft (each side lost roughly the same percentage of aircraft to all causes), the loss of pilots and trained air crewmen was disproportionately heavy for the IJN. US losses amounted to fewer than thirty aircrew, while the Japanese lost almost one hundred and fifty pilots and aircrew. This represents a significantly greater loss than that suffered at Midway. With a training pipeline that could not begin to replace such losses, the most fearsome weapon of the Kido Butai, its deadly naval air power, was blunted permanently. Japanese carrier aviation was all but eliminated from the rest of the fight for the Solomons, and began a steady decline into oblivion that would culminate in the frightful massacre at the Philippine Sea twenty months later.
For Admiral Halsey at SOPAC, Santa Cruz could not have appeared to have been anything except another costly reverse. In the preceding six months, the US Navy had lost Lexington at Coral Sea, Yorktown at Midway, Wasp off Guadalcanal in September, and now Hornet at Santa Cruz. Not only that, but Saratoga had taken a torpedo in August and was stateside for repairs, and Enterprise was more heavily damaged in this battle than could be repaired at forward bases. The IJN still outnumbered the US Navy in the Pacific in numbers of carriers and aircraft, and in surface combatants. Additionally, after Santa Cruz, Kinkaid had retired with Nagumo on his heels.
Yet, despite the Japanese tactical victory, Santa Cruz represented the beginning of the end of the fearsome striking power which had wrecked the US Pacific Fleet at Pearl Harbor and had run amok for the six months that Yamamoto had predicted before December of 1941. If the Americans did not realize it, at least Nagumo did. He informed Naval Headquarters that without decisive victories, the industrial might of the United States would render the Japanese defeat in the Pacific inevitable.
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Liberals and Lies
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Hillary Clinton, Marxist-Leninist
From Breitbart. Hillary was speaking yesterday evening at a fund raiser for far-left Democratic Senate candidate Martha Coakley.
If “corporations and businesses” aren’t the creators of jobs, that leaves but one entity to generate employment: The Government. Precisely the Statist collectivism of Marx and Lenin. Shared, by the way, with Saul Alinsky, the subject of so many gushing words of devotion from the very same Hillary Clinton when she was a young radical. News flash: Hillary is still that (now not so young) radical, having not tempered her far-left secular socialist-communist views one iota. In this, she is entirely in lock-step with the current Administration, and its effeminate and anti-capitalist Alinskyite radical, Barack Obama. And, if the government is the creator of jobs, rest assured that they will determine what jobs will be created, where they will be created, who will work those jobs (race/gender/religious/sexual preference quotas, anyone?), and what those workers will earn. Immediately following will be regulations of where those workers live, what they buy, how and where they travel, how and if they vote… all of which sounds familiar to adults of a certain age.
Given the means, she would make us into Iron Curtain Eastern Europe, replete with the suppression of freedom and government persecution which oppressed hundreds of millions and put to death more millions of victims for five decades. But that will be okay, because THEY’RE in charge, and if their motives are noble, the suffering and privation of the bourgeoisie is a small price to pay. But worry not. You will need only to work for the collective according to your capabilities. For which you will receive according to your need.
When you discuss Candidate Hillary as we approach 2016, do not be afraid to use the term “communist”. She has told us she is precisely that. As recently as last night.



